Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM +115 SELA -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +2 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -0.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (+27.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -2.1 (+0.1) | 132.9 (+23.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -1.2 (-0.8) | 133.3 (+22.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -1.0 (-1.0) | 133.6 (+22.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -0.8 (-1.2) | 134.6 (+21.4) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | ETAM 70 – 53 SELA |
| Dec 16, 2025 | ETAM 70 – 69 SELA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SELA 83 – 65 ETAM |
| Jan 20, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 ETAM |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ETAM 68 – 52 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#329) | -6.4 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#322) | -0.95 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#323) | -1.35 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#303) | 0.458 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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