Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -192 ETAM +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -3.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -1.0 (-2.0) | 136.3 (+2.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -3.1 (-4.1) | 138.9 (+0.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -1.4 (-2.4) | 138.4 (+0.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -0.7 (-1.7) | 138.1 (+0.9) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | ETAM 70 – 53 SELA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SELA 83 – 65 ETAM |
| Jan 20, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 ETAM |
| Feb 13, 2024 | SELA 79 – 77 ETAM |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ETAM 68 – 52 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 6-16 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-8 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#285) | -5.9 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#283) | -0.41 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#301) | -0.83 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#300) | 0.512 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 25.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.4% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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