Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -5000 UCLA +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -26.5 (-20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -22.3 (-16.3) | 143.0 (+5.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -17.9 (-11.9) | 139.7 (+8.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -19.3 (-13.3) | 141.7 (+6.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -22.1 (-16.1) | 142.5 (+5.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | ARIZ 69 – 65 UCLA |
| Dec 14, 2024 | UCLA 57 – 54 ARIZ |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ARIZ 88 – 65 UCLA |
| Mar 12, 2023 | ARIZ 61 – 59 UCLA |
| Mar 5, 2023 | UCLA 82 – 73 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 24.6 (#1) | 1.8 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#17) | -0.14 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.46 (#9) | -0.07 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#12) | 0.487 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 79.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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