Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -180 UCLA +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +3 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -3.2 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-35.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -1.5 (-1.5) | 144.4 (-33.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -1.2 (-1.8) | 139.8 (-28.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -2.9 (-0.1) | 140.0 (-29.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -2.3 (-0.7) | 141.5 (-30.5) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | ARIZ 69 – 65 UCLA |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ARIZ 88 – 65 UCLA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ARIZ 77 – 71 UCLA |
| Mar 12, 2023 | ARIZ 61 – 59 UCLA |
| Mar 5, 2023 | UCLA 82 – 73 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#30) | 17.2 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#90) | 2.61 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#65) | 2.67 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#106) | 0.616 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 43.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 15.8 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 40.8% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 27.2% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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