Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA +350 ARIZ -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +23 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -15.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -14.4 (-8.6) | 147.1 (+5.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -10.9 (-12.1) | 144.8 (+8.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -14.1 (-8.9) | 146.9 (+6.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -15.3 (-7.7) | 147.9 (+5.1) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | ARIZ 69 – 65 UCLA |
| Dec 14, 2024 | UCLA 57 – 54 ARIZ |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ARIZ 77 – 71 UCLA |
| Mar 12, 2023 | ARIZ 61 – 59 UCLA |
| Mar 5, 2023 | UCLA 82 – 73 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-7 | 15-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 87.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#102) | 23.3 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#122) | 2.70 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#119) | 3.59 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#159) | 0.636 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 43.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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