Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -6.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -7.3 (+1.7) | 148.5 (+6.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -7.0 (+2.0) | 146.7 (+8.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -6.8 (+2.2) | 149.0 (+6.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -6.0 (+3.0) | 149.4 (+5.6) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | ARIZ 69 – 65 UCLA |
| Dec 14, 2024 | UCLA 57 – 54 ARIZ |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ARIZ 88 – 65 UCLA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ARIZ 77 – 71 UCLA |
| Mar 12, 2023 | ARIZ 61 – 59 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 14-6 |
| Home | 17-0 | 15-2 |
| Away | 9-2 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.7 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 19.0 (#4) | 16.4 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#5) | 2.61 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.61 (#6) | 3.09 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#6) | 0.624 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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