Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA +105 ARIZ -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -11.3 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -5.5 (+1.5) | 144.9 (-10.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -5.9 (+1.9) | 145.1 (-11.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -6.8 (+2.8) | 144.0 (-10.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -6.1 (+2.1) | 145.3 (-11.3) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | UCLA 57 – 54 ARIZ |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ARIZ 88 – 65 UCLA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ARIZ 77 – 71 UCLA |
| Mar 12, 2023 | ARIZ 61 – 59 UCLA |
| Mar 5, 2023 | UCLA 82 – 73 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 36-3 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 16-2 |
| Home | 17-1 | 16-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 11-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 86.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#179) | 10.9 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#113) | 1.94 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#119) | 2.85 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#195) | 0.622 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 51.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 43.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.76 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 40.0% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 33.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 42.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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