What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
UCLA Bruins
59 61
FINAL Neutral Conference Pac-12 Tournament
Arizona Wildcats
Pac-12 Conference · T-Mobile Arena (Neutral) · March 12, 2023
Betting Lines
O/U 147.5 Under
Money UCLA -115 / ARIZ -105
Model Predictions
Spread Total UCLA win
Actual ARIZ +2 120 Lost
Massey UCLA -2.8 (-4.8)
Massey Totals 149.4 (-29.4)
Bradley-Terry 63%
Weighted B-T 65%
Efficiency Plus ML UCLA -4.2 (-6.2) 142.4 (-22.4) 63%
Baseline Tuned ML UCLA -4.9 (-6.9) 147.0 (-27.0) 69%
Baseline ML UCLA -4.2 (-6.2) 144.2 (-24.2) 66%
Baseline Plus ML UCLA -5.8 (-7.8) 145.1 (-25.1) 67%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 15, 2025 ARIZ 6965 UCLA
Dec 14, 2024 UCLA 5754 ARIZ
Mar 8, 2024 ARIZ 8865 UCLA
Jan 20, 2024 ARIZ 7771 UCLA
Mar 5, 2023 UCLA 8273 ARIZ

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UCLA ARIZ
Overall 31-6 28-7
Conference 18-2 14-6
Home 17-0 15-2
Away 9-2 6-4
Neutral 5-4 7-1
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.1 81.9
Avg Pts Against 60.7 71.1
Massey 19.4 (#3) 16.6 (#8)
Bradley-Terry 3.18 (#6) 2.65 (#13)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.75 (#8) 3.14 (#13)
RPI 0.623 (#7) 0.621 (#8)
Shooting & Four Factors UCLA ARIZ
FG% 46.1% 49.9%
3PT% 35.2% 38.4%
REB / G 35.9 39.5
OREB / G 11.7 10.3
AST / TO 1.40 1.45
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 57.2%
TOV% 15.3% 18.4%
ORB% 34.0% 31.2%
FT Rate 19.6% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 47.4%
Opp TOV% 23.8% 17.0%
DRB% 72.4% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 18.9% 18.6%

Game Analysis

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