You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
UCLA Bruins
59 – 61
FINAL Neutral Conference Pac-12 Tournament
Arizona Wildcats
Pac-12 Conference · T-Mobile Arena (Neutral) · March 12, 2023
Betting Lines
O/U 147.5 Under
Money UCLA -115 / ARIZ -105
Model Predictions
Spread Total UCLA win
Actual ARIZ +2 120 Lost
Massey UCLA -2.8 (-4.8) — —
Massey Totals — 149.4 (-29.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 63% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 65% ✗
Baseline Plus ML UCLA -3.3 (-5.3) 145.7 (-25.7) 58% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UCLA -2.3 (-4.3) 143.4 (-23.4) 56% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML UCLA -3.3 (-5.3) 147.8 (-27.8) 62% ✗
Baseline ML UCLA -2.8 (-4.8) 146.9 (-26.9) 63% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 15, 2025 ARIZ 69 – 65 UCLA
Dec 14, 2024 UCLA 57 – 54 ARIZ
Mar 8, 2024 ARIZ 88 – 65 UCLA
Jan 20, 2024 ARIZ 77 – 71 UCLA
Mar 5, 2023 UCLA 82 – 73 ARIZ

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UCLA ARIZ
Overall 31-6 28-7
Conference 18-2 14-6
Home 17-0 15-2
Away 9-2 6-4
Neutral 5-4 7-1
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.1 81.9
Avg Pts Against 60.7 71.1
Massey 19.4 (#3) 16.6 (#8)
Bradley-Terry 3.18 (#6) 2.65 (#13)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.75 (#8) 3.14 (#13)
RPI 0.623 (#7) 0.621 (#8)
Shooting & Four Factors UCLA ARIZ
FG% 46.1% 49.9%
3PT% 35.2% 38.4%
REB / G 35.9 39.5
OREB / G 11.7 10.3
AST / TO 1.40 1.45
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 57.2%
TOV% 15.3% 18.4%
ORB% 34.0% 31.2%
FT Rate 19.6% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 47.4%
Opp TOV% 23.8% 17.0%
DRB% 72.4% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 18.9% 18.6%

Game Analysis

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