Betting Lines
| Spread | DSU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | DSU -333 UMES +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +4 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | DSU -9.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DSU -6.6 (-2.6) | 136.3 (-6.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DSU -6.8 (-2.8) | 136.6 (-6.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DSU -6.9 (-2.9) | 136.6 (-6.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DSU -6.9 (-2.9) | 138.7 (-8.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DSU 57 – 56 UMES |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DSU 65 – 57 UMES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DSU 75 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DSU 73 – 66 UMES |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UMES 67 – 59 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 4-10 |
| Home | 7-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#302) | -14.1 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#275) | -2.20 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#269) | -2.91 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#290) | 0.382 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 35.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 41.0% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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