Betting Lines
| Spread | DSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | UMES +188 DSU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +8 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | DSU -3.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DSU -3.5 (+11.5) | 134.2 (-8.2) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DSU -2.5 (+10.5) | 132.0 (-6.0) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DSU -3.3 (+11.3) | 133.3 (-7.3) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DSU -2.9 (+10.9) | 133.4 (-7.4) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DSU 57 – 56 UMES |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DSU 65 – 57 UMES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DSU 75 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DSU 73 – 66 UMES |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DSU 67 – 63 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 0-15 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.1 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -15.1 (#352) | -8.3 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#352) | -1.40 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#345) | -1.44 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#359) | 0.430 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.2% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.2% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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