Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | DSU +130 UMES -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +8 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | UMES -3.8 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -3.6 (+11.6) | 124.8 (-2.8) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -4.5 (+12.5) | 123.4 (-1.4) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -3.5 (+11.5) | 124.5 (-2.5) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -2.9 (+10.9) | 125.6 (-3.6) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DSU 57 – 56 UMES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DSU 75 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DSU 73 – 66 UMES |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UMES 67 – 59 DSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DSU 67 – 63 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 5-9 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-4 |
| Away | 2-14 | 2-18 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.7 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -17.7 (#360) | -10.8 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.44 (#358) | -1.66 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.16 (#356) | -2.49 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.348 (#363) | 0.443 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.7% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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