Betting Lines
| Spread | DSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UMES +155 DSU -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | DSU -4.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DSU -4.7 (-2.3) | 145.3 (-6.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DSU -5.0 (-2.0) | 142.8 (-3.8) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DSU -4.9 (-2.1) | 142.4 (-3.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DSU -5.4 (-1.6) | 143.2 (-4.2) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DSU 57 – 56 UMES |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DSU 65 – 57 UMES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DSU 75 – 68 UMES |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UMES 67 – 59 DSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DSU 67 – 63 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 8-6 |
| Home | 5-7 | 11-2 |
| Away | 1-17 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -16.8 (#358) | -8.9 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.90 (#362) | -1.27 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.19 (#362) | -2.02 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#345) | 0.428 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 62.8% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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