Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | UMES -230 DSU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +1 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | UMES -9.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -5.9 (-6.9) | 129.4 (-16.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -5.4 (-6.4) | 125.9 (-12.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -7.1 (-8.1) | 125.8 (-12.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -6.9 (-7.9) | 126.8 (-13.8) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | DSU 65 – 57 UMES |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DSU 75 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DSU 73 – 66 UMES |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UMES 67 – 59 DSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DSU 67 – 63 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 2-12 |
| Home | 6-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 2-18 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#343) | -19.7 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#349) | -3.60 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.37 (#353) | -4.48 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#350) | 0.363 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.2% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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