Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | NKU -225 GB +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +22 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -3.2 (+18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -3.9 (+18.1) | 137.7 (-11.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -2.1 (+19.9) | 139.4 (-13.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -2.1 (+19.9) | 140.2 (-14.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -2.5 (+19.5) | 136.5 (-10.5) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NKU 96 – 76 GB |
| Feb 5, 2026 | GB 87 – 84 NKU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | GB 80 – 78 NKU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NKU 73 – 60 GB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NKU 78 – 60 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#201) | -1.3 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#214) | -0.02 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#218) | -0.14 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#201) | 0.503 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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