And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
Drexel Dragons
86 67
FINAL Conference
Delaware Blue Hens
Coastal Athletic Association · Daskalakis Athletic Center · January 20, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread DREX -5.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money DREX -225 / DEL +230
Model Predictions
Spread Total DREX win
Actual DREX +19 153 Won
Massey DREX -5.6 (+13.4)
Massey Totals 134.0 (+19.0)
Bradley-Terry 75%
Weighted B-T 68%
Baseline ML DREX -5.8 (+13.2) 135.3 (+17.7) 74%
Baseline Plus ML DREX -4.9 (+14.1) 135.8 (+17.2) 71%
Efficiency Plus ML DREX -5.2 (+13.8) 136.0 (+17.0) 70%
Baseline Tuned ML DREX -6.3 (+12.7) 134.9 (+18.1) 74%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2025 DREX 7874 DEL
Jan 25, 2025 DREX 6754 DEL
Feb 26, 2024 DREX 7060 DEL
Feb 9, 2023 DREX 5854 DEL
Jan 21, 2023 DREX 7774 DEL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DREX DEL
Overall 20-12 19-14
Conference 13-5 10-8
Home 13-1 8-5
Away 6-10 8-6
Neutral 1-1 3-3
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.9 72.3
Avg Pts Against 67.1 69.7
Massey 4.5 (#106) 2.6 (#129)
Bradley-Terry 0.76 (#113) 0.35 (#142)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.77 (#127) 0.77 (#125)
RPI 0.535 (#119) 0.511 (#149)
Shooting & Four Factors DREX DEL
FG% 44.9% 45.8%
3PT% 32.0% 33.6%
REB / G 40.5 34.8
OREB / G 12.6 9.4
AST / TO 1.02 1.35
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 51.8%
TOV% 17.4% 15.4%
ORB% 36.6% 27.7%
FT Rate 22.5% 22.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.7% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 13.8% 17.0%
DRB% 74.9% 72.2%
Opp FT Rate 19.9% 19.8%

Game Analysis

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