Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | DREX -225 DEL +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +19 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -5.6 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (+19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -5.2 (+13.8) | 136.0 (+17.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -6.3 (+12.7) | 134.9 (+18.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -5.8 (+13.2) | 135.3 (+17.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -4.9 (+14.1) | 135.8 (+17.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2025 | DREX 78 – 74 DEL |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DREX 67 – 54 DEL |
| Feb 26, 2024 | DREX 70 – 60 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2023 | DREX 58 – 54 DEL |
| Jan 21, 2023 | DREX 77 – 74 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#106) | 2.6 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#113) | 0.35 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#127) | 0.77 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#119) | 0.511 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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