Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -154 DREX +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +10 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -1.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -0.1 (-10.1) | 136.9 (-6.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -2.0 (-12.0) | 137.2 (-7.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -1.2 (-11.2) | 138.2 (-8.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -1.6 (-11.6) | 138.8 (-8.8) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2025 | DREX 78 – 74 DEL |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DREX 67 – 54 DEL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DREX 86 – 67 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2023 | DREX 58 – 54 DEL |
| Jan 21, 2023 | DREX 77 – 74 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 8-6 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#151) | 2.9 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#157) | 0.32 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#160) | 0.35 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#156) | 0.523 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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