Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | DREX -138 DEL +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -6.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (+21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -5.3 (-2.3) | 130.5 (+20.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -4.0 (-1.0) | 130.4 (+20.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -4.6 (-1.6) | 130.9 (+20.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -4.3 (-1.3) | 131.6 (+19.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2025 | DREX 78 – 74 DEL |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DREX 67 – 54 DEL |
| Feb 26, 2024 | DREX 70 – 60 DEL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DREX 86 – 67 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2023 | DREX 58 – 54 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#166) | -1.9 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#211) | 0.12 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#193) | 0.11 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#271) | 0.500 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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