Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -150 DREX +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +4 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -1.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -1.2 (-5.2) | 132.7 (-20.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -1.6 (-5.6) | 135.7 (-23.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -1.0 (-5.0) | 136.6 (-24.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -0.9 (-4.9) | 134.6 (-22.6) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2025 | DREX 78 – 74 DEL |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DREX 67 – 54 DEL |
| Feb 26, 2024 | DREX 70 – 60 DEL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DREX 86 – 67 DEL |
| Jan 21, 2023 | DREX 77 – 74 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#229) | -1.4 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#218) | -0.53 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#207) | -0.63 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#227) | 0.467 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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