Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | DEL -145 DREX +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -1.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -0.5 (-4.5) | 146.0 (+6.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -0.5 (-4.5) | 145.4 (+6.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -0.6 (-3.4) | 144.2 (+7.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -0.9 (-4.9) | 144.1 (+7.9) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2025 | DREX 67 – 54 DEL |
| Feb 26, 2024 | DREX 70 – 60 DEL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DREX 86 – 67 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2023 | DREX 58 – 54 DEL |
| Jan 21, 2023 | DREX 77 – 74 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#241) | -2.4 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#249) | -0.68 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#251) | -0.78 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#241) | 0.462 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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