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Delaware Blue Hens
74 – 78
FINAL Conference
Drexel Dragons
Coastal Athletic Association · Bob Carpenter Center · February 20, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread DEL -2.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money DEL -145 / DREX +125
Model Predictions
Spread Total DEL win
Actual DREX +4 152 Lost
Massey DEL -1.0 (-5.0) — —
Massey Totals — 148.1 (+3.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 60% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 59% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DREX -0.6 (-3.4) 144.2 (+7.8) 53% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML DEL -0.9 (-4.9) 144.1 (+7.9) 55% ✗
Baseline ML DEL -0.5 (-4.5) 146.0 (+6.0) 49% ✓
Baseline Plus ML DEL -0.5 (-4.5) 145.4 (+6.6) 56% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 25, 2025 DREX 67 – 54 DEL
Feb 26, 2024 DREX 70 – 60 DEL
Jan 20, 2024 DREX 86 – 67 DEL
Feb 9, 2023 DREX 58 – 54 DEL
Jan 21, 2023 DREX 77 – 74 DEL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DEL DREX
Overall 16-20 18-15
Conference 5-13 9-9
Home 8-7 8-6
Away 3-11 7-7
Neutral 5-2 3-2
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.8 69.6
Avg Pts Against 78.7 67.6
Massey -4.6 (#241) -2.4 (#207)
Bradley-Terry -0.87 (#249) -0.68 (#232)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.10 (#251) -0.78 (#229)
RPI 0.467 (#241) 0.462 (#250)
Shooting & Four Factors DEL DREX
FG% 47.0% 45.1%
3PT% 38.0% 33.7%
REB / G 31.4 36.8
OREB / G 7.3 11.2
AST / TO 1.16 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.6% 51.4%
TOV% 16.7% 18.8%
ORB% 22.2% 33.1%
FT Rate 24.1% 15.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.5% 47.7%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 14.4%
DRB% 66.2% 70.6%
Opp FT Rate 24.4% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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