Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | DREX -200 DEL +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +13 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -4.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-28.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -4.9 (+8.1) | 142.1 (-21.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -3.4 (+9.6) | 143.1 (-22.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -3.5 (+9.5) | 142.9 (-21.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -4.0 (+9.0) | 142.6 (-21.6) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2025 | DREX 78 – 74 DEL |
| Feb 26, 2024 | DREX 70 – 60 DEL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DREX 86 – 67 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2023 | DREX 58 – 54 DEL |
| Jan 21, 2023 | DREX 77 – 74 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#202) | -3.4 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#215) | -0.49 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#210) | -0.70 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#225) | 0.476 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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