Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -2500 EVAN +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +49 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -14.5 (+34.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -16.0 (+33.0) | 147.0 (-2.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -12.6 (+36.4) | 148.3 (-3.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -13.7 (+35.3) | 148.3 (-3.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -14.6 (+34.4) | 149.4 (-4.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | DRKE 82 – 78 EVAN |
| Dec 21, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 65 EVAN |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DRKE 65 – 61 EVAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 40 EVAN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DRKE 79 – 58 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 6-14 |
| Home | 16-0 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#60) | -1.7 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#39) | 0.12 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#39) | -0.17 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#29) | 0.516 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.73 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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