Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -470 EVAN +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +4 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -12.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -11.0 (-7.0) | 142.6 (+17.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -12.3 (-8.3) | 141.6 (+18.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -9.7 (-5.7) | 139.9 (+20.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -10.1 (-6.1) | 140.7 (+19.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 65 EVAN |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DRKE 65 – 61 EVAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 40 EVAN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DRKE 79 – 58 EVAN |
| Feb 14, 2024 | DRKE 78 – 75 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 3-17 |
| Home | 6-11 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 78.3 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#145) | -7.3 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#197) | -1.42 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#173) | -1.62 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#198) | 0.456 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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