Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 120.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -3000 EVAN +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +23 | 103 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -18.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 113.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -13.6 (+9.4) | 122.9 (-19.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -17.1 (+5.9) | 116.0 (-13.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -14.0 (+9.0) | 122.7 (-19.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -14.5 (+8.5) | 123.8 (-20.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | DRKE 82 – 78 EVAN |
| Dec 21, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 65 EVAN |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DRKE 65 – 61 EVAN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DRKE 79 – 58 EVAN |
| Feb 14, 2024 | DRKE 78 – 75 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-9 |
| Away | 9-1 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#78) | -7.3 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#43) | -1.19 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#49) | -1.26 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#35) | 0.427 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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