Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN +225 DRKE -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -9.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -7.1 (+4.1) | 145.4 (+7.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -9.2 (+6.2) | 143.5 (+9.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -6.1 (+3.1) | 144.9 (+8.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -6.8 (+3.8) | 144.0 (+9.0) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | DRKE 82 – 78 EVAN |
| Dec 21, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 65 EVAN |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DRKE 65 – 61 EVAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 40 EVAN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DRKE 79 – 58 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 16-4 |
| Home | 10-5 | 16-0 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 79.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#200) | 10.5 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#136) | 2.06 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#152) | 2.50 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#126) | 0.613 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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