Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -1400 EVAN +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +21 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -12.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -10.8 (+10.2) | 147.4 (-10.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -12.6 (+8.4) | 146.4 (-9.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -10.8 (+10.2) | 148.6 (-11.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -11.3 (+9.7) | 147.8 (-10.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | DRKE 82 – 78 EVAN |
| Dec 21, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 65 EVAN |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DRKE 65 – 61 EVAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 40 EVAN |
| Feb 14, 2024 | DRKE 78 – 75 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 6-14 |
| Home | 16-0 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#50) | -2.7 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#36) | 0.04 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#41) | -0.08 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#14) | 0.499 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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