Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN +320 DRKE -425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +4 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -10.3 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -9.9 (+5.9) | 130.0 (-4.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -9.7 (+5.7) | 128.7 (-2.7) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -8.7 (+4.7) | 130.6 (-4.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -9.0 (+5.0) | 129.0 (-3.0) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | DRKE 82 – 78 EVAN |
| Dec 21, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 65 EVAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 40 EVAN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DRKE 79 – 58 EVAN |
| Feb 14, 2024 | DRKE 78 – 75 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 17-3 |
| Home | 7-9 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.1 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 60.2 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#251) | 8.2 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#223) | 2.49 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#226) | 2.91 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#226) | 0.590 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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