Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | SYR -188 MIA +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -0.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -2.3 (+0.7) | 151.9 (-10.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -1.4 (+1.6) | 151.7 (-10.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -2.7 (+0.3) | 149.1 (-8.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -2.3 (+0.7) | 149.5 (-8.5) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | MIA 85 – 76 SYR |
| Feb 12, 2025 | MIA 91 – 84 SYR |
| Jan 17, 2023 | MIA 82 – 78 SYR |
| Mar 5, 2022 | MIA 75 – 72 SYR |
| Jan 6, 2022 | MIA 88 – 87 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L10 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#82) | 9.8 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#38) | 1.64 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#40) | 2.01 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#13) | 0.565 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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