Betting Lines
| Spread | MIA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | SYR +110 MIA -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIA +9 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | MIA -2.8 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIA -1.7 (-7.3) | 146.9 (+14.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIA -0.6 (-8.4) | 146.4 (+14.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIA -1.3 (-7.7) | 145.3 (+15.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIA -1.0 (-8.0) | 145.9 (+15.1) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2025 | MIA 91 – 84 SYR |
| Jan 20, 2024 | SYR 72 – 69 MIA |
| Jan 17, 2023 | MIA 82 – 78 SYR |
| Mar 5, 2022 | MIA 75 – 72 SYR |
| Jan 6, 2022 | MIA 88 – 87 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Away | 2-7 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#75) | 14.5 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#92) | 2.17 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#85) | 3.09 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#120) | 0.555 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 50.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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