Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -150 WCU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +3 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -1.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (-27.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -2.4 (+0.6) | 148.2 (-21.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -0.1 (+2.9) | 146.2 (-19.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -0.4 (+3.4) | 146.6 (-19.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -0.2 (+2.8) | 147.9 (-20.9) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WCU 86 – 67 FUR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WCU 80 – 77 FUR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FUR 84 – 75 WCU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | FUR 90 – 61 WCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | FUR 79 – 76 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#142) | 3.7 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#203) | 1.61 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#193) | 1.68 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#207) | 0.567 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 12.5% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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