Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | JAX +200 KENN -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +4 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | KENN -3.4 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -3.0 (-1.0) | 157.2 (+4.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -3.3 (-0.7) | 158.2 (+3.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -3.6 (-0.4) | 156.9 (+5.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -2.5 (-1.5) | 158.5 (+3.5) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2024 | JAX 92 – 86 KENN |
| Feb 15, 2024 | KENN 66 – 61 JAX |
| Jan 13, 2023 | KENN 81 – 68 JAX |
| Feb 19, 2022 | JAX 59 – 56 KENN |
| Jan 24, 2022 | KENN 76 – 68 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JAX | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#319) | -2.7 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#248) | 0.24 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#260) | 0.12 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#238) | 0.502 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JAX | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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