Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +3 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -5.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -5.0 (-2.0) | 126.1 (-11.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -5.9 (-2.9) | 131.5 (-16.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -5.9 (-2.9) | 131.7 (-16.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -5.7 (-2.7) | 131.3 (-16.3) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2024 | JAX 92 – 86 KENN |
| Feb 15, 2024 | KENN 66 – 61 JAX |
| Jan 20, 2024 | KENN 83 – 79 JAX |
| Jan 13, 2023 | KENN 81 – 68 JAX |
| Jan 24, 2022 | KENN 76 – 68 JAX |
Game Analysis
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