Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
Kennesaw State Owls
86 92
FINAL Conference ASUN
Jacksonville Dolphins
Atlantic Sun Conference · VyStar Arena · March 5, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -2.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money KENN -138 / JAX +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual JAX +6 178 Lost
Massey KENN -6.2 (-12.2)
Massey Totals 156.0 (+22.0)
Bradley-Terry 71%
Weighted B-T 75%
Efficiency Plus ML KENN -5.2 (-11.2) 150.4 (+27.6) 62%
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -4.6 (-10.6) 147.8 (+30.2) 67%
Baseline ML KENN -4.3 (-10.3) 149.8 (+28.2) 64%
Baseline Plus ML KENN -4.2 (-10.2) 150.2 (+27.8) 64%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2024 KENN 6661 JAX
Jan 20, 2024 KENN 8379 JAX
Jan 13, 2023 KENN 8168 JAX
Feb 19, 2022 JAX 5956 KENN
Jan 24, 2022 KENN 7668 JAX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN JAX
Overall 15-16 16-17
Conference 6-10 5-11
Home 9-5 11-3
Away 4-11 4-14
Neutral 2-0 1-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 81.5 69.6
Avg Pts Against 83.7 74.6
Massey -5.2 (#266) -8.1 (#303)
Bradley-Terry -0.71 (#251) -1.01 (#280)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.76 (#243) -1.18 (#276)
RPI 0.450 (#284) 0.447 (#285)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN JAX
FG% 44.4% 42.7%
3PT% 32.8% 32.5%
REB / G 36.8 34.7
OREB / G 11.7 11.6
AST / TO 1.13 0.75
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.4% 48.2%
TOV% 16.1% 19.7%
ORB% 29.7% 34.0%
FT Rate 24.3% 23.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.7% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 17.7%
DRB% 69.3% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 31.1% 29.6%

Game Analysis

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