Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | KENN -225 JAX +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -6.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.9 (-34.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -6.5 (-1.5) | 150.3 (-23.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -3.9 (+1.1) | 151.6 (-24.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -3.6 (+1.4) | 153.2 (-26.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -3.5 (+1.5) | 152.1 (-25.1) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2024 | JAX 92 – 86 KENN |
| Jan 20, 2024 | KENN 83 – 79 JAX |
| Jan 13, 2023 | KENN 81 – 68 JAX |
| Feb 19, 2022 | JAX 59 – 56 KENN |
| Jan 24, 2022 | KENN 76 – 68 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.7 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#260) | -8.1 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#241) | -0.81 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#238) | -1.00 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#276) | 0.460 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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