Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | KENN -160 JAX +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -5.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.3 (+19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -3.8 (+4.2) | 127.8 (+16.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -5.5 (+2.5) | 131.3 (+12.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -5.6 (+2.4) | 132.3 (+11.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -5.5 (+2.5) | 129.8 (+14.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2024 | JAX 92 – 86 KENN |
| Feb 15, 2024 | KENN 66 – 61 JAX |
| Jan 20, 2024 | KENN 83 – 79 JAX |
| Jan 13, 2023 | KENN 81 – 68 JAX |
| Feb 19, 2022 | JAX 59 – 56 KENN |
Game Analysis
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