Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | KENN -138 JAX +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +13 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -3.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.1 (+26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -0.8 (+12.2) | 132.0 (+17.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -1.9 (+11.1) | 131.0 (+18.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -1.8 (+11.2) | 132.1 (+16.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -2.2 (+10.8) | 130.2 (+18.8) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2024 | JAX 92 – 86 KENN |
| Feb 15, 2024 | KENN 66 – 61 JAX |
| Jan 20, 2024 | KENN 83 – 79 JAX |
| Feb 19, 2022 | JAX 59 – 56 KENN |
| Jan 24, 2022 | KENN 76 – 68 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 10-6 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#194) | -0.2 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#112) | 0.71 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#138) | 0.97 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#115) | 0.551 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 15.9% |
Game Analysis
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