Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -350 WMU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +5 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -7.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -5.9 (-0.9) | 149.7 (+13.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -5.1 (-0.1) | 147.8 (+15.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -5.2 (-0.2) | 149.3 (+13.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -5.6 (-0.6) | 150.5 (+12.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | WMU 88 – 79 BGSU |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BGSU 72 – 54 WMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WMU 64 – 63 BGSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BGSU 83 – 79 WMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BGSU 73 – 65 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#197) | -5.5 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#131) | -0.95 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#157) | -1.27 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#178) | 0.446 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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