Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -900 WMU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +9 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -12.2 (-21.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -10.6 (-19.6) | 146.8 (+20.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -9.5 (-18.5) | 145.7 (+21.3) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -10.1 (-19.1) | 145.8 (+21.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -10.4 (-19.4) | 145.8 (+21.2) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | BGSU 72 – 54 WMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WMU 64 – 63 BGSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BGSU 83 – 79 WMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BGSU 73 – 65 WMU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | BGSU 84 – 79 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 80.1 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#138) | -7.6 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#167) | -1.09 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#162) | -1.29 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#207) | 0.451 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.