Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | WMU -195 BGSU +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +4 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | WMU -5.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -2.9 (-6.9) | 147.8 (+14.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -2.6 (-6.6) | 147.8 (+14.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -3.2 (-7.2) | 145.4 (+16.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -3.0 (-7.0) | 146.5 (+15.5) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | WMU 88 – 79 BGSU |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BGSU 72 – 54 WMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WMU 64 – 63 BGSU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BGSU 73 – 65 WMU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | BGSU 84 – 79 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-9 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#264) | -6.9 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#335) | -2.02 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#330) | -2.88 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#319) | 0.383 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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