Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | BGSU -155 WMU +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +1 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -4.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -1.9 (-2.9) | 145.2 (-18.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -1.7 (-2.7) | 143.2 (-16.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -2.2 (-3.2) | 142.6 (-15.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -2.3 (-3.3) | 142.9 (-15.9) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | WMU 88 – 79 BGSU |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BGSU 72 – 54 WMU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BGSU 83 – 79 WMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BGSU 73 – 65 WMU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | BGSU 84 – 79 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 6-9 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#282) | -8.1 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#278) | -1.33 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#300) | -1.68 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#293) | 0.455 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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