Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | WMU -133 BGSU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +8 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -0.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -0.3 (-7.7) | 143.0 (-5.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -0.5 (-8.5) | 142.8 (-4.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -0.1 (-8.1) | 141.0 (-3.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -0.3 (-8.3) | 141.1 (-3.1) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | WMU 88 – 79 BGSU |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BGSU 72 – 54 WMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WMU 64 – 63 BGSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BGSU 83 – 79 WMU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | BGSU 84 – 79 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#290) | -3.9 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#282) | -0.29 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#295) | -0.46 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#274) | 0.478 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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