Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | WMU +240 BGSU -298 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +18 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -5.9 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -3.8 (-14.2) | 151.0 (-25.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -4.3 (-13.7) | 147.5 (-21.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -3.9 (-14.1) | 149.6 (-23.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -3.6 (-14.4) | 150.8 (-24.8) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | WMU 88 – 79 BGSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WMU 64 – 63 BGSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BGSU 83 – 79 WMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BGSU 73 – 65 WMU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | BGSU 84 – 79 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#238) | 4.7 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#221) | 0.62 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#214) | 0.71 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#215) | 0.530 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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