Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SEMO +275 SIUE -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +5 | 99 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -8.8 (+13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-40.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -8.0 (+13.0) | 137.0 (-38.0) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -8.1 (+13.1) | 137.0 (-38.0) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -8.0 (+13.0) | 137.2 (-38.2) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -8.0 (+13.0) | 134.7 (-35.7) | 23% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 56 SEMO |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIUE 68 – 55 SEMO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SIUE 69 – 48 SEMO |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SEMO 83 – 68 SIUE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | SEMO 80 – 64 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-14 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -16.2 (#357) | -3.6 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#350) | -0.26 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.87 (#356) | -0.42 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.362 (#357) | 0.484 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.9% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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