Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO +100 SIUE -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +16 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -1.9 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -2.0 (+14.0) | 137.3 (+6.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -0.0 (+16.0) | 141.5 (+2.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -1.7 (+14.3) | 139.7 (+4.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -1.3 (+14.7) | 136.3 (+7.7) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 56 SEMO |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIUE 68 – 55 SEMO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SIUE 69 – 48 SEMO |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SEMO 83 – 68 SIUE |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SIUE 80 – 76 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#257) | -2.9 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#270) | -0.66 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#250) | -1.11 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#270) | 0.451 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.7% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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