I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Ohio Valley Conference · First Community Arena · February 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -11.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Money SIUE -700 / SEMO +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIUE win
Actual SIUE +4 156 Won
Massey SIUE -13.2 (-9.2)
Massey Totals 136.9 (+19.1)
Bradley-Terry 91%
Weighted B-T 93%
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -10.7 (-6.7) 140.1 (+15.9) 86%
Model 4 ML SIUE -9.7 (-5.7) 139.5 (+16.5) 85%
Model 3 ML SIUE -10.6 (-6.6) 139.4 (+16.6) 86%
Baseline ML SIUE -10.4 (-6.4) 139.5 (+16.5) 86%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 13, 2026 SIUE 7456 SEMO
Jan 17, 2026 SIUE 6855 SEMO
Mar 9, 2025 SIUE 6948 SEMO
Feb 28, 2025 SEMO 8368 SIUE
Dec 21, 2024 SEMO 8064 SIUE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIUE SEMO
Overall 17-16 9-22
Conference 9-9 4-14
Home 12-2 8-7
Away 2-13 1-14
Neutral 3-1 0-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 69.4 64.5
Avg Pts Against 71.0 76.2
Massey -5.3 (#270) -15.1 (#353)
Bradley-Terry -0.93 (#268) -2.56 (#352)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.25 (#276) -3.12 (#346)
RPI 0.461 (#252) 0.384 (#351)
Shooting & Four Factors SIUE SEMO
FG% 41.4% 40.6%
3PT% 33.8% 30.6%
REB / G 33.9 30.8
OREB / G 10.4 9.0
AST / TO 1.00 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.7% 45.8%
TOV% 15.5% 18.5%
ORB% 29.4% 24.4%
FT Rate 24.2% 17.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 52.4%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 17.4%
DRB% 70.3% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 30.3%

Game Analysis

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