Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -700 SEMO +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +4 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -13.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -10.6 (-6.6) | 139.4 (+16.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -9.7 (-5.7) | 139.5 (+16.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -10.7 (-6.7) | 140.1 (+15.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -10.4 (-6.4) | 139.5 (+16.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 56 SEMO |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIUE 68 – 55 SEMO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SIUE 69 – 48 SEMO |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SEMO 83 – 68 SIUE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | SEMO 80 – 64 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-13 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#270) | -15.1 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#268) | -2.56 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#276) | -3.12 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#252) | 0.384 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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