And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Ohio Valley Conference · Ford Center (Neutral) · March 9, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SEMO -3.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money SEMO -165 / SIUE +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total SEMO win
Actual SIUE +21 117 Lost
Massey SEMO -2.6 (-23.6) — —
Massey Totals — 136.9 (-19.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 57% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 61% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SEMO -2.9 (-23.9) 137.6 (-20.6) 63% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SEMO -0.6 (-21.6) 138.3 (-21.3) 56% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SEMO -2.1 (-23.1) 139.7 (-22.7) 61% ✗
Baseline ML SEMO -2.9 (-23.9) 140.2 (-23.2) 64% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 13, 2026 SIUE 74 – 56 SEMO
Jan 17, 2026 SIUE 68 – 55 SEMO
Feb 28, 2025 SEMO 83 – 68 SIUE
Dec 21, 2024 SEMO 80 – 64 SIUE
Feb 17, 2024 SIUE 80 – 76 SEMO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SEMO SIUE
Overall 21-12 22-12
Conference 15-5 13-7
Home 12-3 12-3
Away 8-7 7-8
Neutral 1-2 3-1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.3 69.6
Avg Pts Against 69.3 68.3
Massey -1.3 (#181) -3.9 (#229)
Bradley-Terry -0.25 (#194) -0.52 (#218)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.51 (#205) -0.96 (#239)
RPI 0.525 (#132) 0.488 (#204)
Shooting & Four Factors SEMO SIUE
FG% 45.7% 42.7%
3PT% 35.4% 34.1%
REB / G 31.7 37.1
OREB / G 8.0 11.6
AST / TO 1.19 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 49.0%
TOV% 15.6% 17.0%
ORB% 24.4% 31.6%
FT Rate 20.8% 22.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 48.1%
Opp TOV% 18.9% 17.5%
DRB% 71.6% 70.4%
Opp FT Rate 30.9% 23.5%

Game Analysis

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