Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SEMO -165 SIUE +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +21 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -2.6 (-23.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -3.0 (-24.0) | 140.4 (-23.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SEMO -2.3 (-23.3) | 137.8 (-20.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | SEMO -3.8 (-24.8) | 137.0 (-20.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -3.5 (-24.5) | 140.0 (-23.0) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 56 SEMO |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIUE 68 – 55 SEMO |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SEMO 83 – 68 SIUE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | SEMO 80 – 64 SIUE |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SIUE 80 – 76 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#181) | -3.9 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#194) | -0.52 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#205) | -0.96 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#132) | 0.488 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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