Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SIUE -105 SEMO -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +18 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -1.4 (+16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -1.0 (+17.0) | 131.5 (-1.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -0.9 (+17.1) | 133.6 (-3.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -0.7 (+17.3) | 133.7 (-3.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -0.9 (+17.1) | 133.5 (-3.5) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIUE 68 – 55 SEMO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SIUE 69 – 48 SEMO |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SEMO 83 – 68 SIUE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | SEMO 80 – 64 SIUE |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SIUE 80 – 76 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#251) | -3.8 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#235) | -0.71 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#241) | -1.06 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#253) | 0.496 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 35.5% |
Game Analysis
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