Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SEMO -425 SIUE +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +13 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -6.3 (-19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -4.5 (-17.5) | 135.7 (-12.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -4.3 (-17.3) | 139.2 (-16.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -4.0 (-17.0) | 139.9 (-16.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -4.4 (-17.4) | 136.3 (-13.3) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 56 SEMO |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SIUE 69 – 48 SEMO |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SEMO 83 – 68 SIUE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | SEMO 80 – 64 SIUE |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SIUE 80 – 76 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#238) | -7.3 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#261) | -1.36 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#261) | -1.80 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#267) | 0.408 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.5% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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