I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Siena Saints
70 – 82
FINAL Conference
Quinnipiac Bobcats
Metro Conference · MVP Arena · January 20, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -5.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money SIE +240 / QUIN -225
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIE win
Actual QUIN +12 152 Lost
Massey QUIN -10.6 (-1.4) — —
Massey Totals — 141.8 (+10.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 13% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 9% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -11.2 (-0.8) 145.4 (+6.6) 15% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -9.8 (-2.2) 142.4 (+9.6) 17% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -10.5 (-1.5) 142.8 (+9.2) 16% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -10.9 (-1.1) 143.9 (+8.1) 17% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 QUIN 74 – 62 SIE
Feb 2, 2025 SIE 84 – 75 QUIN
Jan 11, 2025 QUIN 72 – 53 SIE
Mar 3, 2024 QUIN 71 – 57 SIE
Feb 18, 2023 QUIN 66 – 63 SIE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIE QUIN
Overall 4-28 24-10
Conference 3-17 15-5
Home 2-12 13-3
Away 2-13 10-5
Neutral 0-3 1-2
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L8 L2
Avg Pts For 60.4 76.2
Avg Pts Against 74.4 71.9
Massey -16.2 (#358) -1.9 (#203)
Bradley-Terry -2.05 (#332) 0.51 (#132)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.80 (#335) 0.28 (#152)
RPI 0.390 (#337) 0.510 (#151)
Shooting & Four Factors SIE QUIN
FG% 40.5% 42.6%
3PT% 26.3% 32.3%
REB / G 36.3 38.5
OREB / G 13.0 11.2
AST / TO 0.67 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.7% 48.1%
TOV% 23.7% 17.5%
ORB% 35.4% 31.1%
FT Rate 20.2% 26.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.1% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 15.5% 16.7%
DRB% 69.2% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 17.4%

Game Analysis

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