Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
Quinnipiac Bobcats
72 – 53
FINAL Conference
Siena Saints
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -6.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money QUIN -280 / SIE +230
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +19 125 Won
Massey QUIN -5.2 (+13.8) — —
Massey Totals — 142.5 (-17.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 73% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 76% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -3.9 (+15.1) 140.1 (-15.1) 66% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -5.6 (+13.4) 140.6 (-15.6) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -3.4 (+15.6) 139.1 (-14.1) 67% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -3.6 (+15.4) 139.9 (-14.9) 65% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 QUIN 74 – 62 SIE
Feb 2, 2025 SIE 84 – 75 QUIN
Mar 3, 2024 QUIN 71 – 57 SIE
Jan 20, 2024 QUIN 82 – 70 SIE
Feb 18, 2023 QUIN 66 – 63 SIE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN SIE
Overall 20-13 14-18
Conference 15-5 9-11
Home 12-2 9-5
Away 7-10 4-10
Neutral 1-1 1-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 74.0 72.2
Avg Pts Against 72.2 72.1
Massey -3.8 (#227) -5.0 (#255)
Bradley-Terry -0.21 (#194) -0.48 (#213)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.29 (#192) -0.61 (#211)
RPI 0.504 (#163) 0.471 (#225)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN SIE
FG% 39.6% 42.5%
3PT% 26.8% 33.4%
REB / G 37.3 31.8
OREB / G 12.6 10.1
AST / TO 0.91 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.9% 49.4%
TOV% 17.1% 19.2%
ORB% 32.5% 29.6%
FT Rate 21.1% 27.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.5% 52.4%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 18.9%
DRB% 70.2% 70.4%
Opp FT Rate 22.3% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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