I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Siena Saints
63 – 66
FINAL Conference
Quinnipiac Bobcats
Metro Conference · MVP Arena · February 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SIE -2.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money SIE -150 / QUIN +115
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIE win
Actual QUIN +3 129 Lost
Massey SIE -2.6 (-5.6) — —
Massey Totals — 142.1 (-13.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 64% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 66% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SIE -2.0 (-5.0) 141.1 (-12.1) 64% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SIE -1.1 (-4.1) 139.2 (-10.2) 58% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SIE -2.3 (-5.3) 140.4 (-11.4) 64% ✗
Baseline ML SIE -2.0 (-5.0) 140.4 (-11.4) 63% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 QUIN 74 – 62 SIE
Feb 2, 2025 SIE 84 – 75 QUIN
Jan 11, 2025 QUIN 72 – 53 SIE
Mar 3, 2024 QUIN 71 – 57 SIE
Jan 20, 2024 QUIN 82 – 70 SIE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIE QUIN
Overall 17-15 20-12
Conference 11-9 11-9
Home 8-5 9-4
Away 7-8 9-6
Neutral 2-2 2-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 68.6 72.5
Avg Pts Against 67.2 69.8
Massey 0.2 (#166) 1.2 (#144)
Bradley-Terry 0.04 (#170) 0.11 (#159)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.10 (#163) 0.18 (#155)
RPI 0.505 (#165) 0.517 (#146)
Shooting & Four Factors SIE QUIN
FG% 44.1% 42.8%
3PT% 35.9% 35.0%
REB / G 34.8 38.8
OREB / G 9.8 12.1
AST / TO 0.95 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 49.4%
TOV% 19.7% 18.4%
ORB% 30.4% 33.5%
FT Rate 26.8% 21.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.8% 47.0%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 16.5%
DRB% 74.9% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 18.7%

Game Analysis

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